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House in Estonia

Thoughts on personal finance and investing in Estonian property
May 17

Back from the dead

Its been a long time since my last post, but I have been very busy. Last year I decided to build on our success in Estonian property and establish a company offering services for investors in Baltic property. Since then it has been a rollercoaster - I have found a few customers, bought several more apartments in Tallinn, been busy in Riga and set up the website. The company is called Kurekodu, and you can find it at www.houseinestonia.com or www.kurekodu.com
The company is now managing properties for the investors we have helped, and I have a team on the ground in Tallinn and Pärnu. We are on a field trip in Tallin over the coming week, so watch out for posts on some of the latest property developments, and the new flat in the exclusive Kadriorg district which we are bringing online in the next 2 months.
January 05

Nerves of steel

Careful control of the quality of tenant is the single biggest factor in minimising risk to rental income from letting residential property. Once a tenant has been chosen, they will generally be in the property for some time whether or not they choose to pay the rent!
Even if the capital value of your property is increasing, dealing with a difficult tenant can cause enough stress and hassle to take the shine off your investment. Moreover, many property purchase decisions are based on optimistic assumptions of rental income. I have included some war stories which may help those considering investing in property understand the challenges, and the possible rewards if you can stick with it!
My first example is a close friend and successful investor in apartments in the Scottish provincial town of Perth. She has invested in 2-bedroom tenement flats and showed great insight into the her target market of tenants, and the likelihood of lower rental returns than in metropolitan areas. Although both flats needed some work to prepare them for tenants (for example, they required kitchen and bathroom renovation), she carried this work out cost effectively using the help of family and friends, recycled appliances, etc. The flats were decorated and fettled with an eye to economy and ease of maintenance rather than with the interior design cues of a lifestyle magazine, and as a result the renovation costs were low, reducing the capital investment. She has now enjoyed 3 years of largely problem free rental in which time central Perth apartments have seen an uplift of around 40% in valuation.
But latterly the capital gain fairy tale has been tarnished by difficult tenants. The first issue was a consistently late paying tenant causing considerable overhead in phone calls, letters, checking of internet bank accounts etc.  This became a consistently annoying overhead of time and effort, although the tenant would always pay when chased. The second issue has become a huge problem, with the 40-something divorcee tenant placing his landlady last on the list of debtors despite claiming housing benefit. He declined to answer phone calls and letters, and at the time of writing is trying to avoid eviction using legal assistance. Although there should eventually be a satisfactory conclusion to the situation, the landlady will have to withstand a significant period of no rent and constant worry of damage or theft of contents.
Both tenants seemed like upright citizens who could supply references and were able to pay a deposit, proving it's very difficult to choose a good tenant!
Another friend in Estonia started renting out her apartment near the Bussijaam in Tallinn when she moved into a new house with her partner. The flat was rented successfully for several years, until she found a new tenant who gave every impression of being a successful Estonian businessman. However, after a few months rent he stopped paying abruptly and was nowhere to be found. Frustrated by the lack of payment or explanation, after some months the out of pocket landlady took matters into her own hands and let herself into the flat to see what was going on. She found it full of expensive AV equipment and designer suits which she confiscated.
To cut a long story short, her businessman tenant was less than respectable, and had been languishing in a Finnish prison for several months. Once he was released and returned to Estonia, my friend showed remarkable courage by refusing to hand back the contraband until he had paid his rent.
All of which goes to show that you need nerves of steel in this game!
December 19

Is Property worth the Hassle?

If you are lucky enough to have disposable income or access to capital, buying and renting residential property may appear to be a lucrative sideline to the day job. However, its important to understand the hidden costs, time and hassle before deciding if it is a worthwhile use of time.
Obviously, for it to work as an investment, it has to increase in value between buying and selling, and at least cover its costs in the meantime. Buying off-plan and personal use excepted, this generally means letting to a paying tenant. The costs of reaching rentable condition can be considerable and are not immediately apparant; cost of time and effort must also be taken into consideration. Many newbie landlords also underestimate the ongoing hassle of managing slow-to-pay tenants who complain every time a light bulb needs changing. All of this has an effect on the success criteria of the amateur landlord - net yield and how much of your own time you must put in.
Consider how much personal time it takes in the process of buying, preparing and letting a property; my experience for a new build flat has been that it takes a week to search for and choose a property, a week to buy, and at least a week to get it rentable. Add another week to find a suitable tenant, and you have justy spent a month of your time before have any money coming in.
So you have just spent your yearly holiday balance getting to the point where you can rent your property. Compare the value of your time to how far ahead you could be on your rented property after 1 year. It may be more profitable to, say, take an extra job with the time and effort you just spent fettling a flat.
So clearly it is neccessary to take at a multi-year medium term view of buying to rent. Letting in a static property market makes nobody rich quick, and to make any worthwhile money we must invest in property markets with good growth potential. Ideally these markets would also have transparant legal and business infrastructure meaning low volatility and risk to the investment capital. I've explained below that I think Estonia fits this profile. But how does distance, language and cultural factors effect the already considerable hassle of renting out a property?
 
October 28

Some Stats

Residential flats in Estonia have shown year on year capital growth of approaching 20% over the past 5 years.
The mortgage rate in Estonia follows the European bank rate - and a foreign national can get a variable rate of less that 3.5%
 
 
October 18

Pensions, property and the Young Professional

For the young professional just starting work it’s difficult to think about retirement. The carriage clock seems so far off that pension falls below executive cars, exotic holidays, fine wine and Hugo Boss suits on the "things to do in your 20's" list.

Then just as he starts to earn a decent wage in his 30's, family comes along with new priorities for his hard earned cash. His growing family expect the expensive lifestyle the professional career is funding. There's an uncomfortable vision of ending up 50, skint, knackered and with few years to save before entering unemployable dotage. Thus it is that most start retirement planning in earnest around the mid-30s mark.

The more far-sighted graduate whiz-kid may have joined employer pension schemes early on. The lucky ones became civil servants or Church of England vicars and quietly built up years served in final salary pensions. Such was the 90's bull run on the stock market that the minimum contribution seemed a reasonable exchange for comfortable retirement aged 55.

However, anybody who reads a newspaper will be aware of the "pension crisis". In the UK several factors such as longer life expectancy, insufficient saving, higher taxes, slow fund growth and greater expectations of lifestyle will mean that the average professional hitting his 30s in the new millennium will not be able to retire at 65. The state has already indicated that this looming crisis will force a raised retirement age.

To make matters even gloomier, anyone retiring since 2000 will have a lower pension income than they expected because of stock market downturns early this decade and the current low interest/high annuity rate environment.

That’s not to say pensions are a bad thing; currently in the UK they are an efficient way of saving. Most will benefit from full tax relief, at the expense of sometimes costly commission, fees and restrictions on realising the benefit. Unfortunately the investments your pension fund targets may not perform well, and of course most of us are far too busy to read our pension statement each year, let alone analyse the global economy to decide the optimum fund for growth with minimum risk.

So, whilst sticking a sizeable percentage of your salary in a private pension is sage, if the young professional wants to retire whilst he or she still has teeth, it's necessary to have a plan "B". The ideal plan would optimise investment for tax efficiency, low risk of losing your capital, prospects for high investment growth and be achievable in the limited spare time available to the average professional.

Property is obviously an asset class which offers low capital risk and high growth potential, and one which most, as homeowners, have experience of. This has led to the amateur property developer and buy to let trend well documented in the media.

However, even the inscrutable Gordon Brown has warned of a house price bubble which may make some wary of investing in UK residential property. This has led to investors taking a world view and considering undervalued property in other nations.

The “Place in the Sun” phenomenon is well documented, and many European investors, in particular from wealthier nations such as UK and Germany, have purchased holiday properties for letting and personal use in resort areas throughout Spain and France. Demand has driven prices upwards, and the next several years is unlikely to see the same capital growth of the last 5 in, say, the Costa Del Sol. Moreover, an investment depending purely on holiday demand is build on shakier foundations than a property which appeals to residential markets; when times are hard people need a roof over their head, but are less likely to spend 3 weeks on the beach in Summer.

Which leads the investor for growth to Eastern Europe. The new entrants to the EU (The 3 Baltic States, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Hungary, Poland, ) offer a lower cost of entry with prospects for growth tracking that of the countries economies.

The writer chose to invest the Baltic State of Estonia. It has an economy with stable and consistent growth since its independance from the USSR, and a foreigner friendly legal system which would seem to address the low risk requirement of any long term investment. There are high prospects for capital growth as Estonia's GDP per capita grows to meet the EU average and match that of neighboring Finland. What's more, local banks are very willing to offer mortgages to foreign nationals who wish to gear their investment. All this in an environment where homeowners have seen property values double in the past 4 years, with prospects for similar growth in the future.

So for the 30-something on the hamster wheel of professional life: Keep paying the pension contributions, but consider an escape plan built around property in Estonia - it could have you retiring before you need dentures.

 
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